Vol. XXXIV,  n° 4 - v. 1.0

Le seul hebdomadaire de la région publié une fois par mois

Le lundi 4 décembre 2023

 
Annexe 

 

 

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The future, the past, another obscure writer and a P.-S.

We are a curious bunch of animals, are we not ?

We believe that the world we live in is the best world that ever existed and that, as it is now, will continue to exist with, in the near future, minor modifications such as : no more war, poverty and famine and the eventual cures for all ailments.

We think we know or have the capacity to know everything and that we are, or close to be, in full control of whatever the future will throw at us, which, in itself, is ridiculous as we, the common folks, know less and less about more and more while scientists seem to know more and more about less and less. Ask a botanist, for example, what he knows about nuclear fusion and then ask a physicist what he knows about the Liliaceae family. You'll see what I mean. - And do you honestly know how your refrigerator works ? Or even your coffee machine ? - Personally, I have problems with my pencil sharpener. You can imagine the rest.

We drum up all sorts of reasons to prove that we are right about all of the above. To do so, we compare our global awareness - should I say "shortcomings" ? - to that of people who lived in a distant and, sometimes, not too distant, past.

We say to ourselves :

"What a chump must have been Louis XIV : he didn't even know what an aspirin was !"

or

"How moron could people have been to believe, up to the Renaissance, that the sun revolved around the earth ?"

or even

"What about the members of the House of Commons, in London, in 1900, who wanted to stop the incoming population in Greater London and who tried to convince every other members of their clan that, by 1910, London would be in ankle-deep horse manure ?."

And then we think about our grandmothers and great-grandmothers with their antiquated washing machines and wood stoves ; and about our forefathers with their horses and carriages, their pens made out of feathers and their candles.

The worst is that we don't have to go that far :

Take my car, for example (please, take my car !). It is seven years old and compared to the ones being sold today, is totally out of date. It doesn't have a GPS system, nor a back up screen, nor a Bluetooth phone connection. Its CD reader won't even accept MP3's ! Same goes with my computers, my toaster, my tv set, my electric razor and just about every appliance in my house, including a vacuum that overheats and stops after ten minutes. And, as I'm writing this, I can't help but notice that I have, on my desk, 50 or so leftover read-write CD-R's which, I guess, I'll have to use as coasters since everybody is now into memory sticks. - Thought that buying them in bulk would save me money...

Memory sticks ! I found a not-so-old bill in one my father's books, recently (used as a marker). It concerned the purchase of a 64K memory chip (not gigabytes : kilobytes) which he paid $29.95. - That would be have been, at the time, ±$500 for a megabyte or half a million dollars for a gigabyte. Multiply that by 32 and compared the result (16 million dollars - $15,702,425.60, to be precise) to the price I paid last week for a 32 gigabyte chip for my phone : $39.95. - My phone, for God's sake ! - Terabytes? Five hundred million dollars versus $125 I saw last week for a two terabytes external hard disk...

That phone of mine : a Samsun Galaxy S4 has more computing power that a PC I bought less then five, maybe three, years ago which had a zillionth more power than the one on board the first moonlander.

It's to the point that I now use the oldest computer I have as a jukebox and watch documentaries on my phone. Dick Tracy, here I come !

I keep wondering what the cost will be, five, ten years from now, for a petabyte memory chip (a thousand terabytes). Do you know what you can do with a petabyte of memory ? I recently read this in Scientific America : copy in or on it every book you will read in your life time ; same with every WEB page you will visit, every film and tv programs you will watch, every music you will listen to, leaving enough room to write several twenty volume encyclopedias, that is if you limit the photos you will take to under 100,000 or so. - And they're already talking about exabyte (1,000 terabytes), zettabyte (1000 exabites)  and yottabyte (1,000 zettabytes). - Just learned, while I'm at it, that, at this very moment, researchers at IBM are building the largest data drive ever :  a 120 petabyte beast comprised of some 200,000 normal HDDs working in concert, significantly, of course, more spacious than the 15 petabyte capacity found in the biggest arrays currently in use.

That's for the future. What about the past ?

No need for petabytes. I'm convinced that, with a time machine and a simple 8 digit calculator, I could impress the pants of the likes of Euclid, Archimedes, Ptolemy and even Leibnitz (1646 -1716), the Leibnitz, the one who invented, independent of Newton (1642 – 1727), infinitesimal calculus., using a pen and several sheets (I hope !) of paper.

Two other guys I'd like to have a chat with would be Copernicus and Galileo. I wonder what they would say if I told them, amongst other things, that Jupiter does not have four satellites but 49 official (named) and 14 more, waiting to be named or, at the very least, given a number.

I'd also like to discuss, with the both of them, what they might think about the Big Bang, time-space continuum, speed of light, black holes, exoplanets and so on, but... as far as I could from to the Church Police because, what I would say, might get me in deep doodoo and probably very seriously arrested, if not killed, like being driven to the edge of the earth and pushed off.

You Think I'm joking ? Believe it or not, 18 % of the adult population of the United States still believe that Copernicus AND Galileo were and are still wrong and 28% are convinced that the world WAS created in seven days.

But, speaking of beings from a not too long time ago, allow me to go from one subject to another :

Some of you, out there, occasionally - very occasionally, I know -, buy lottery tickets, play penny poker or spend a few quarters in so-called one arm bandits, recalling, I am sure, every time you do, the content of the correspondence Blaise Pascal (1623-1662) and Pierre de Fermat (1601 or 1607-1665) exchanged in the middle half of the seventeenth century and in which they discussed what is said to be the basic rules of probability. You may also recall Chistiaan Huygens (1629-1695) who actually wrote the first book on the subject but they all had a predecessor in a fourth brainbox, or double dome, whose name was Gerolamo Cardano, a.k.a Girolamo or Jérôme Cardan and even Hieronymus Cardanus (1501-1576), a first-class noodler and another one of the obscure writers I love to read or talk about (see P.-S., at the end).

Gerolamo Cardano - or whatever his name was - was one of those percipients who found interesting clarifying obscure matters regarding some more obscure subjects, writing, in the process, two hundred or so books dealing with : medicine, mathematics (algebra), physics, natural science, hydrodynamics, religion, music, transcendental philosophy... you name it : he dealt with anything that might be something, publishing amongst other riveting subjects, a detailed horoscope of Jesus Christ (as if I could make this up) most likely to pay his gambling debts because he loved gambling as a whole : dice, cards, chess, anything with which he thought he could make money. - Even wrote an entire chapter on cheating in his book dealing with games of chance (Liber de ludo aleae). - And while you may not know this, you probably use two of his inventions on a daily basis (because he was an inventor in his spare time) : 1) a combination lock, the one you use at the gym because it has numbers and doesn't need a key (well somebody had to think about that), and 2) a drive shaft, a.k.a "the Cardan shaft", which is what connects the motor of your car to its wheels. - (And yes, he did spend a few months in jail for that horoscope...)

Anyway, he and Copernicus (1473-1543) had one friend in common : Georg Joachin Rheticus, a man we would call, today, a press agent. He's the one that oversaw the publication of Copernicus' De revolutionibus orbium coelestium (On the Revolutions of the Celestial Spheres) in 1543 ; you know : the book that said the earth rotated unto itself once a day (which the Chuch said it didn't), that it, and all the the known planets, revolved around the sun (which the Chuch said they didn't) and that the moon revolved around the earth (which the Chuch said it did). And this is where Andreas Osiander (1498-1552) came into the picture.

Another all-around winner who believed that he lived in a perfect world.

Who was he ? A German Lutheran theologian. Well he may have been but he wasn't that brave facing the Roman Catholic Chuch and his own constituants, particularly when it came to the, then, pope who, as you know, wasn't at that point in time interested in seeing his power being challenged, including that of the thumbscrew. Copernicus wouldn't have cared less as he was dying but not Osiander. Thing is that, just before the former's great work was about to be published, Georg Joachin Rheticus, had to go away and left the matter in the later's hands. Being a shrinking violet, Osiander thought that Copernicus was too "revolutionary" (sorry for the pun), so he substituted his preface for his own in which he said that whatever was in Copernicus' book was not necessarily true, or even probable, but could be used for computational purposes.

By the time Rheticus got back, he went ballistic but it was too late. Took years before readers finally heard that the preface wasn't at all what Copernicus had thought.

How many years ?

Think of Galileo who was placed under house arrest for his views more or less confirming Copernicus' so-called "false theory", in 1633 (that's 120 years later).

More than that : it wasn't until 1835 (172 years later) that the Catholic Church's ban on his De revolutionibus orbium coelestium was finally lifted.

Talk about instant fame.

(For more information : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nicolaus_Copernicus#Controversy).

See how much fun you can have looking into these things ?

Now on with my P.-S.

Copernique

P.-S. : (On reading) :

Following my last column, I got a message from a woman who claimed that she didn't give a hoot about good and bad books, that she read for sheer pleasure ; that there was a lot of joy and gratification in discovering interesting things to read on one's own ; that my method of selecting books, largely based on criticisims, permanency or continued existence, was no guarantee that I would  wind up with reading only "good" books.

I totally agree. It's a question of hypothesis, really, or, to put it in context, palatableness (agreeable to the mind or feelings) as well as how much time one is willing to spend on research, exploration and even experimentation, just like continuously looking for new restaurants as opposed to sticking, like I do, to two or three on the basis that, when one is known in an establishment, one is more or less assured to have service entirely compatible with one's taste or habits.

But to come back to books, thousands are being published every week - if not days - and you must grant me that readers should, one way or the other, rely on certain guidelines instead of practically choosing at random what they will want to read. - In his "The Knowledge Web" (Simon & Schuster 2001), James Burke tried to demonstrate that with all the information on every known subjects now available on line, anytime, anywhere, people will eventually have to rely on some form of organisation in order to decipher or simply find what is compatible with their brain otherwise all that information will be overbearing and totally chaotic, which, when you think about it, makes sense. - My method in choosing what I'd like to read is certainly not sure proof and definitely not for everyone. It has something to do with my brain patterns.

Let me say this another way : I hate reading stuff that doesn't bring me new ideas, new ways of thinking and I'd rather rely on 400 years of criticism tellling me that Shakespeare was a great writer than on 400 comments by, I wouldn't say "uninformed" but "unexperienced" readers whose knowledge of reading is limited to best sellers and the latest novels, telling me that this or this book is a "masterpiece", hence my going back to 50 years or so.

I have a feeling, that way, that I'm not wasting all of my time. Not that I object to anybody that tells me that James Paterson, Ken Follett or whoever seems to have everybody's current attention brings them pleasure, just like I like to watch action movies once in a while... for sheer pleasure. - Hey : you think I don't know who Ian Flemming was ? (He wrote the James Bond books. People tend to forget that....)

And you know the old saying : locking up a thousand individuals in a large library doesn't guarantee that any one of them will come out as a bookworm.

C.